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Benfica – Guimaraes

Primeira Liga · March 21, 2026

Benfica 3–0 Guimaraes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Benfica 74% X · 16% 2 · Guimaraes 10%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals2.34 – 0.70
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 15, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.