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Benfica – Moreirense

Primeira Liga · February 8, 2025

Benfica 3–2 Moreirense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Benfica 79% X · 14% 2 · Moreirense 7%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score40%
Expected goals2.46 – 0.58
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 2, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.