Benfica – Moreirense
Primeira Liga · April 25, 2026
Benfica
4–1
Moreirense
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Benfica 80%
X · 13%
2 · Moreirense 7%
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Expected goals | 2.51 – 0.59 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 24, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.