Certor

Benfica – Porto

Primeira Liga · September 29, 2023

Benfica 1–0 Porto

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Benfica 42% X · 25% 2 · Porto 33%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.39 – 1.18
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.