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Benfica – Sp Lisbon

Primeira Liga · December 5, 2025

Benfica 1–1 Sp Lisbon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Benfica 45% X · 24% 2 · Sp Lisbon 31%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.57 – 1.25
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 5, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.