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Benfica – Tondela

Primeira Liga · August 23, 2025

Benfica 3–0 Tondela

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Benfica 88% X · 8% 2 · Tondela 4%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals3.22 – 0.58
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 23, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.