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Boavista – Arouca

Primeira Liga · December 3, 2023

Boavista 0–4 Arouca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Boavista 46% X · 26% 2 · Arouca 28%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.32 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 1, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.