Certor

Bochum – Dortmund

Bundesliga · August 26, 2023

Bochum 1–1 Dortmund

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bochum 18% X · 22% 2 · Dortmund 60%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.20 – 2.27
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 25, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.