Certor

Bochum – Mainz

Bundesliga · October 27, 2023

Bochum 2–2 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bochum 35% X · 28% 2 · Mainz 37%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.44 – 1.49
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 27, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.