Certor

Bochum – Mainz

Bundesliga · May 10, 2025

Bochum 1–4 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bochum 29% X · 29% 2 · Mainz 42%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.22 – 1.49
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.