Certor

Bologna – Cremonese

Serie A · December 1, 2025

Bologna 1–3 Cremonese

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 63% X · 23% 2 · Cremonese 14%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.92 – 0.78
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 29, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.