Certor

Bologna – Fiorentina

Serie A · February 14, 2024

Bologna 2–0 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 33% X · 28% 2 · Fiorentina 39%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.23 – 1.34
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 10, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.