Certor

Bologna – Frosinone

Serie A · October 22, 2023

Bologna 2–1 Frosinone

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 59% X · 24% 2 · Frosinone 17%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.88 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 21, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.