Certor

Bologna – Genoa

Serie A · May 24, 2025

Bologna 1–3 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 53% X · 28% 2 · Genoa 19%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.50 – 0.81
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.