Certor

Bologna – Lecce

Serie A · April 12, 2026

Bologna 2–0 Lecce

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 56% X · 27% 2 · Lecce 17%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score40%
Expected goals1.51 – 0.71
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 11, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.