Certor

Bologna – Milan

Serie A · August 21, 2023

Bologna 0–2 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 24% X · 25% 2 · Milan 51%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.71
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 19, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.