Certor

Bologna – Milan

Serie A · February 27, 2025

Bologna 2–1 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 31% X · 27% 2 · Milan 42%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.28 – 1.51
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.