Certor

Bologna – Milan

Serie A · February 3, 2026

Bologna 0–3 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 32% X · 27% 2 · Milan 41%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.24 – 1.43
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 31, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.