Certor

Bologna – Monza

Serie A · January 18, 2025

Bologna 3–1 Monza

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 52% X · 28% 2 · Monza 20%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.53 – 0.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.