Certor

Bologna – Napoli

Serie A · April 7, 2025

Bologna 1–1 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 27% X · 28% 2 · Napoli 45%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.07 – 1.48
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 5, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.