Certor

Bologna – Napoli

Serie A · November 9, 2025

Bologna 2–0 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 26% X · 29% 2 · Napoli 45%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals0.99 – 1.38
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 8, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.