Certor

Bologna – Parma

Serie A · February 8, 2026

Bologna 0–1 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 55% X · 26% 2 · Parma 19%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.61 – 0.86
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 7, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.