Certor

Bologna – Roma

Serie A · December 17, 2023

Bologna 2–0 Roma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 29% X · 27% 2 · Roma 44%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.19 – 1.53
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 16, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.