Certor

Bologna – Roma

Serie A · January 12, 2025

Bologna 2–2 Roma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 35% X · 28% 2 · Roma 37%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.32 – 1.34
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 11, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.