Certor

Bologna – Sassuolo

Serie A · September 6, 2026

Bologna 2–2 Sassuolo

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bologna 49% X · 25% 2 · Sassuolo 26%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.62 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.