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Bournemouth – Arsenal

Premier League · January 3, 2026

Bournemouth 2–3 Arsenal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bournemouth 19% X · 24% 2 · Arsenal 57%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals0.93 – 1.80
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.