Certor

Bournemouth – Aston Villa

Premier League · December 3, 2023

Bournemouth 2–2 Aston Villa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bournemouth 26% X · 22% 2 · Aston Villa 52%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.17 – 1.74
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 2, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.