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Bournemouth – Crystal Palace

Premier League · May 3, 2026

Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bournemouth 44% X · 27% 2 · Crystal Palace 29%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.54 – 1.19
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 2, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.