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Bournemouth – Liverpool

Premier League · January 24, 2026

Bournemouth 3–2 Liverpool

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bournemouth 29% X · 24% 2 · Liverpool 47%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score65%
Expected goals1.43 – 1.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 24, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.