Certor

Bournemouth – Newcastle

Premier League · September 21, 2025

Bournemouth 0–0 Newcastle

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Bournemouth 37% X · 25% 2 · Newcastle 38%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.45 – 1.46
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.