Certor

Brentford – Arsenal

Premier League · January 1, 2025

Brentford 1–3 Arsenal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brentford 17% X · 22% 2 · Arsenal 61%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals0.99 – 2.05
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 29, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.