Certor

Brentford – Arsenal

Premier League · February 12, 2026

Brentford 1–1 Arsenal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brentford 19% X · 26% 2 · Arsenal 55%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals0.91 – 1.69
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 7, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.