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Brentford – Aston Villa

Premier League · March 8, 2025

Brentford 0–1 Aston Villa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brentford 41% X · 24% 2 · Aston Villa 35%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.65 – 1.52
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 8, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.