Certor

Brentford – Crystal Palace

Premier League · August 26, 2023

Brentford 1–1 Crystal Palace

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brentford 49% X · 26% 2 · Crystal Palace 25%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.42 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 25, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.