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Brentford – Man City

Premier League · February 5, 2024

Brentford 1–3 Man City

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brentford 17% X · 20% 2 · Man City 63%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals0.98 – 2.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 30, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.