Certor

Brentford – Sunderland

Premier League · January 7, 2026

Brentford 3–0 Sunderland

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brentford 42% X · 30% 2 · Sunderland 28%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.27 – 0.99
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.