Certor

Brest – Le Havre

Ligue 1 · March 8, 2026

Brest 2–0 Le Havre

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 53% X · 25% 2 · Le Havre 22%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.63 – 0.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.