Certor

Brest – Lens

Ligue 1 · August 13, 2023

Brest 3–2 Lens

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 24% X · 26% 2 · Lens 50%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.04 – 1.60
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 11, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.