Certor

Brest – Lens

Ligue 1 · April 24, 2026

Brest 3–3 Lens

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 30% X · 26% 2 · Lens 44%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.21 – 1.51
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 24, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.