Certor

Brest – Lille

Ligue 1 · March 17, 2024

Brest 1–1 Lille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 28% X · 29% 2 · Lille 43%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.03 – 1.33
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 15, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.