Certor

Brest – Lille

Ligue 1 · August 17, 2025

Brest 3–3 Lille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 30% X · 28% 2 · Lille 42%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.14 – 1.41
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.