Certor

Brest – Lyon

Ligue 1 · January 11, 2025

Brest 2–1 Lyon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 35% X · 25% 2 · Lyon 40%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.52 – 1.63
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 10, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.