Certor

Brest – Metz

Ligue 1 · April 7, 2024

Brest 4–3 Metz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 55% X · 26% 2 · Metz 19%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.65 – 0.86
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 5, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.