Certor

Brest – Metz

Ligue 1 · November 23, 2025

Brest 3–2 Metz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 61% X · 22% 2 · Metz 17%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.95 – 0.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 21, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.