Certor

Brest – Nice

Ligue 1 · September 20, 2025

Brest 4–1 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 34% X · 26% 2 · Nice 40%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.32 – 1.43
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 19, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.