Certor

Brest – Strasbourg

Ligue 1 · May 13, 2026

Brest 1–2 Strasbourg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 39% X · 27% 2 · Strasbourg 34%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.45 – 1.33
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.