Certor

Brest – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · October 8, 2023

Brest 1–1 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 42% X · 27% 2 · Toulouse 31%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.50 – 1.24
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 6, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.