Certor

Brest – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · August 29, 2026

Brest 2–2 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brest 39% X · 27% 2 · Toulouse 34%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.36 – 1.26
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 29, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.