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Brighton – Arsenal

Premier League · January 4, 2025

Brighton 1–1 Arsenal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brighton 23% X · 26% 2 · Arsenal 51%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.02 – 1.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 29, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.