Brighton – Aston Villa
Premier League · May 5, 2024
Brighton
1–0
Aston Villa
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Brighton 45%
X · 24%
2 · Aston Villa 31%
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 1.35 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
May 4, 2024.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.